Get It?

Geithner "The vast majority of U.S. Banks have more capital than regulatory guidelines indicate". Ken Lewis "We absolutely don't need more capital". Citigroup "Regulatory capital base is strong"....and then the story from bloomberg this morning..."At least 6 banks require additional capital, according to preliminary results of Government stress tests".
So on one hand, the feds think that regulatory capital standards are great, but on the other hand, they don't. The private institutions don't seem to think they need more capital, but the feds have blatantly threatened to fire private CEO's if they don't.

Long story short, estimates put banks at another 1.1 trillion in losses and shortfall, and Bank of America at 60-70 billion. The government is at this point, politically unable to give more money away. Bank of America could convert 27 billion from preferred shares to common. However, where then does the at least 33 billion dollar shortfall come from for BAC, and where does the trillion come from for the rest of the industry?

Where will it come from? Lies. That's where it has been coming from for the last 6 weeks anyway.
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Black Gold

Should have a decent day in the energy sector tomorrow.
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All Hail The Feds!

Who will be meeting on wednesday. Yesterday the futures were down 165 points pre-market, and yet the markets only managed to drop 48 points. Usually when the futures have moved pre-market more than 120 or so points or so, the day will be very directional. This morning the futures are down a little over 100 points but I think the markets will end up relatively flat today as well in light of upcoming announcements. The markets are really looking for a reason to sell at this point, but the volume has been light so far. Watch for one or two more punches to the upside courtesy of the feds this Wednesday and this Monday. Monday, May 4th is shaping up to be a pretty big day for "selling the news".
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Stress Tests

Who wants to bet that the government stress tests will beat expectations today. Aacording to "their" stress tests all 19 of the big financial institutions will be in great shape under the worst of possibilities. It will be interesting to see if the markets decide to wave the bull crap flag on that one and sell into it.

There was no news the last 10 minutes of trading yesterday to cause the massive jump we had. Whoever put the massive order in, put it in at the market. Most institutional trades are worked in using trading algorithims and programs. The buying yesterday near the close was dropped on the market. Either they knew something no one else did, or they wanted to have a green day, or both. Either way, this market is giving me the creepers.
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No Rationale

I am telling the banks and the government are mixing it up with investors. I have not seen indicators denoting short plays as obvious in a long time. Yesterday General Motors defaulted on 1 billion dollars in notes. The IMF came out and said we are in a deep recession not seen since the 30's. Bad news is being completely ignored and snippets of good news are put on a pedestal. Volume is really low. People aren't trading because the market rally's on bearish technical and fundamental plays. Everything is drastically overbought and overdone on the buy side. The markets are no longer free. The financial power houses and the government are manipulating this market.
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No Head Fake Here!

Well, so much for the head fake before continuing down. This market wants to rally so...I'm not going to get in the way of tha freight train. Amazing how resiliant capitalism is regardless of the corruption and fundamentals!
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Whew! That Stinks!

Something smells really really bad. David Kellermann, the acting CEO of Mortgage giant Freddie Mac, was found dead on Wednesday in his home. The death was "unintended" said a Fairfax County Officer. In light of all the corruption and blatent lying to the public as of late, I wonder if there wasn't something that he knew...and wanted to come clean with....(Twilight Music in background) dodododododododoooooo.....
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